Formulation 1 is ready for the ultimate instalment of its brief, early season leg in Asia this weekend because the Japanese Grand Prix will host spherical three of the 2026 marketing campaign.
This follows the season-opening Australian and Chinese language grands prix, which have been each gained by Mercedes – clearly dominating the newest regulation change thus far.
Whether or not that superiority continues this weekend stays to be seen, however there are additionally a number of speaking factors all through the grid following the primary two rounds.
So, listed below are 5 issues to look out for at Suzuka, which’ll be the ultimate race earlier than Miami in Might as Saudi Arabia and Bahrain have been each cancelled as a result of ongoing Center Japanese battle.
Is Kimi Antonelli a real menace to George Russell?
George Russell, Mercedes, Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes
Picture by: Guido De Bortoli / LAT Pictures through Getty Pictures
When Mercedes got here out of the blocks firing throughout pre-season testing, George Russell immediately turned the heavy favorite for the 2026 F1 title and with good motive. The 28-year-old is now in his eighth season, so has constructed up numerous expertise. And, if the Silver Arrows do dominate, Russell’s largest competitors can be his teenage team-mate Kimi Antonelli, getting into 12 months two in F1.
So by all metrics, Russell ought to have the higher of his stablemate and he backed that up on the Melbourne opener by dominating the Australian Grand Prix from pole in a Mercedes 1-2. However then the script flipped in Shanghai with Antonelli claiming his maiden victory in one other 1-2, and it was spectacular how the Italian calmly managed every thing from the entrance, streaking away from the competitors.
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The one query now could be whether or not he can ship on a constant foundation and truly problem Russell for the championship. There aren’t any query marks over the Briton, who clearly confirmed that he’s prepared for a title cost final season, it’s simply whether or not or not Antonelli is prepared himself.
Suzuka shall be a superb place to search out out if he has improved on the inconsistency he confirmed as a rookie, or if in reality, Russell does nonetheless have supreme dominance over his team-mate and can doubtless romp in the direction of his first crown.
How robust will Ferrari’s problem to Mercedes be?
Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari, George Russell, Mercedes
Picture by: Alex Bierens de Haan / Getty Pictures
Though Mercedes claimed a 1-2 in each grands prix this 12 months, it didn’t come with out a menace from its nearest challenger Ferrari. Charles Leclerc took the lead at first of the Australian GP as Russell was gradual off the road and the 2 engaged in an early to-and-fro earlier than the Scuderia failing to pit below a VSC resigned it to 3rd and fourth.
Then in Shanghai, Lewis Hamilton replicated Leclerc’s efforts, although dropped again inside 5 laps and Antonelli was left unchallenged. So, the alternatives have been there for Ferrari and whether it is to truly make a real try at successful the title, it must take advantage of them and quick, in any other case Mercedes will simply streak clear.
That begins at Suzuka, the place the flowing, medium-to-high pace corners ought to truly favour the SF-26, which has impressed with its cornering pace. It means there may lastly be a real multi-team battle for pole, although attaining that this weekend might be of much less significance than in earlier years as a result of how these nimbler automobiles have prompted ‘yo-yo’ type racing with overtakes in locations by no means seen earlier than.
So even when Ferrari beats the Silver Arrows to pole, holding it off on Sunday is one other matter as that Mercedes engine is very environment friendly with its vitality and it isn’t precisely straightforward to reap battery energy at Suzuka.
Third time fortunate for Oscar Piastri?
Oscar Piastri, McLaren
Picture by: Alex Bierens de Haan / Getty Pictures
The early season dominance from Mercedes and Ferrari exhibits it’s not been an amazing begin to the title defence from McLaren, which has crashed again right down to earth thus far in 2026. The Woking outfit is third within the standings with 18 factors – 80 behind Mercedes – eight of which got here within the Shanghai dash because it’s solely had one automobile begin a grand prix.
That was Lando Norris in Melbourne with the reigning world champion ending fifth, because the opener noticed his team-mate Oscar Piastri crash out on the reconnaissance lap. The Aussie failed to start out once more every week later as a part of a double DNS for McLaren; {an electrical} downside dominated Norris out of the Chinese language GP, whereas Piastri’s MCL40 merely failed to fireplace up.
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So hopefully, Piastri will lastly get to start out a grand prix this weekend and if he does, it’ll include a base expectation of squabbling Norris for fifth within the order as McLaren is comfortably third within the standings. Which means the Woking outfit must take any positives it may possibly for the time being, and that’s very true for Piastri after the way in which by which he misplaced the 2025 title.
It appears like a lifetime in the past that he truly had a profitable weekend, arguably Zandvoort in August, so this can be a rot he must cease and present whether or not or not he has improved upon final 12 months and might as soon as once more be a match for his team-mate.
Identical issues to persist for Crimson Bull and Max Verstappen?
Max Verstappen, Crimson Bull Racing
Picture by: Lars Baron / Getty Pictures
“The entire weekend we’ve been off,” stated Max Verstappen. “The automobile is totally undriveable. I can not even put a little bit of a reference in. Each lap is like survival.”
These have been the phrases of the four-time world champion amid a disastrous Shanghai weekend for Crimson Bull, which till then had loved a comparatively optimistic begin to 2026 exhibiting indicators of difficult McLaren.
However then actuality struck in China, because the Austrian outfit suffered a double non-points end within the dash earlier than claiming 4 measly factors through Isack Hadjar on Sunday, as Verstappen retired after a sudden lack of energy.
His ideas on the brand new rules are properly documented, but it surely clearly doesn’t assist the Dutchman that the RB22 is failing to match his abilities with Mercedes boss Toto Wolff even claiming that Verstappen is in a “horror present”.
The issues have been throughout in Shanghai, however there may be one which retains cropping up, and that’s race begins. The process below the 2026 guidelines is now extra advanced, because the removing of the MGU-H means drivers should rev their engines excessive for no less than 10 seconds to spool up the turbo for a easy getaway.
However each Crimson Bull drivers are but to take pleasure in a superb begin this 12 months, as they’ve suffered from a scarcity of battery energy for lights out resulting in Verstappen dropping a mixed six spots on lap one this 12 months. In order that’s clearly an enormous downside which wants fixing, in any other case attaining fourth within the standings may not be straightforward because it appears.
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How will Audi cope after Jonathan Wheatley’s exit?
Jonathan Wheatley, Audi F1 Crew
Picture by: Andy Hone/ LAT Pictures through Getty Pictures
Every little thing was wanting rosy at Audi. The German marque is making its F1 debut this 12 months and was aggressive from the off with Q3 and factors for Gabriel Bortoleto in Melbourne, earlier than his team-mate Nico Hulkenberg certified and completed eleventh every week later. So though there have been no factors in China, the tempo was nonetheless there.
It has subsequently proven indicators of combating the likes of Haas, Alpine and Racing Bulls on the entrance of the midfield with the Audi energy unit being notably spectacular, particularly as it’s its debut and the German outfit hasn’t received buyer groups to gather knowledge from.
However the squad has since hit a bump: Jonathan Wheatley introduced his resignation as crew principal along with his former boss Mattia Binotto assuming the function. Wheatley solely joined at the start of final 12 months, when it was generally known as Sauber, however was instrumental in turning across the operational aspect of the crew permitting it to go from simply 4 factors in 2024 to 70 in ‘25 – which included a podium for Hulkenberg at Silverstone.
What Wheatley additionally represented was a settled administration construction, one thing the crew was beforehand missing, and had Audi moving into the correct locations, however his shock exit now threatens to undo all of that terrific progress. It does really feel just like the German marque is again to sq. one, so there’ll be questions on it this weekend and it’ll be attention-grabbing to see how Binotto copes.
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