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NASCAR

Does Denny Hamlin, NASCAR Chase favourite, get it performed at 45?

By Motorsports September 2, 2026
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A 12 months after the Remaining 4 format denied him that elusive NASCAR Cup Sequence championship, Denny Hamlin enters the primary 12 months of the second iteration of the Chase for the Championship as the favourite.

He’s two months away from his forty sixth birthday and 14 months away from his meant retirement. Subsequent 12 months shouldn’t be a assure and this very properly could possibly be his final likelihood to win the lacking championship that he has tried to not let outline him.

“It might imply lots personally, but it surely additionally if I stop at the moment, I am nonetheless actually pleased with the stats we have been capable of placed on the stat sheet and the wins that we have been capable of get,” stated Hamlin on Wednesday at media day for The Chase. “It definitely could be very gratifying, however what issues to me is my dad noticed me after I was at my very best, and that was at Phoenix final 12 months.”

That story has been well-documented. Dennis Hamlin was within the midst of a terminal sickness and his son put all the pieces he had into the pursuit of that championship race. He received the pole and was three laps away from profitable the title when a warning got here out and the crown was misplaced on a green-white-checkered.

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Hamlin the senior died in a home hearth a month later and the playoff format wouldn’t see the subsequent 12 months both. Hamlin has 4 wins this 12 months, earned the common season championship, and enters this new format with a 25-point benefit over Ryan Blaney and 35 over Tyler Reddick.

There are 16 drivers total with every seed having a five-point better deficit. The motive force with essentially the most factors after 10 races wins the championship.

There’s one apparent constructive to this format for the favourite.

“I feel that being a favourite in years previous, you at all times know this factor goes to come back all the way down to a freaking green-white-checkered within the last race, and that is how they are going to resolve a championship,” Hamlin stated. “I feel now it is like the larger physique of labor usually bodes properly for Denny Hamlin. It simply at all times has.

“You give me extra of a pattern measurement, and we’ll show that we’re the very best over an extended time frame. I feel that that is what our followers have to deal with is that simply it is a marathon, not a dash.”

However, Hamlin can not pour his complete self into one single race like he did final 12 months after being the primary driver to lock into the four-driver, winner-take-all championship race.

“I feel it is tougher, I actually do,” Hamlin stated. “It’s just because there not going to be any alternative for me to take two weeks off and examine for one racetrack. It isn’t bodily doable.

“Now, there’s a chance for me to spend just a little bit extra time on these final 10, which I’ll do however it’ll by no means attain the depths wherein I labored for Phoenix final 12 months. It is simply just because there is not any weekends to take off.

“Perhaps Talladega as a result of there’s not likely a lot setting-up that goes into that one. That is why I stated I by no means may think about going via that course of once more that I went via making ready for that one race.”

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A number of variations of the Chase for the Championship was used from 2004 to 2013 however this one is totally different as a result of it is going to be the primary to include stage factors. Within the earlier model, all the pieces got here all the way down to ending place, however this format will higher replicate the general efficiency over 10 races.

There are such a lot of factors obtainable in every race that even a decrease seeded driver could make up floor by maximizing stage factors after which profitable a race — which itself carries 20 extra factors than ending second.

“It is going come all the way down to first qualifying, then, then it is the phases, proper,” Hamlin stated. “So, there for some time throughout the summer season once we had a number of stage factors, it is as a result of we have been qualifying very well.

“And I do assume that we simply went via what I consider was our roughest patch of tracks and we nonetheless have been actually, actually, good. So, if we are able to simply maintain our good finishes going, we’ll proceed to be good on the metric. We will proceed to qualify properly. So I feel it’ll be all concerning the execution that occurs the day earlier than the race that’s going to result in stage factors.”

Solely Hamlin and Joey Logano have raced within the Chase for the Championship, one thing he doesn’t even assume issues this 12 months, and he’s curious to see how this model of the format adjustments how the races play out.

“I am wanting ahead to seeing the place we’re at 5 races in,” Hamlin stated. “And to assume that 5 races in, that is over a month from now, and we’re nonetheless simply going to be midway. I feel everybody’s going to comprehend fairly rapidly it is a lot totally different format than what we have had prior to now.

“We will see a number of issues that we expect are large moments, and so they is perhaps looking back while you look again. However we cannot know them till the season’s performed in Homestead.”

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